DEBUNKING THE CDC & FDA YOUTH VAPING EPIDEMIC MATH ALARM

“For those unfamiliar with the National Youth Tobacco Survey, the just published survey data showed that 9.4 percent of youth in the U.S. had used an e-cigarette in the last 30 days, that 84.9 percent of flavored e-cigarette-using youth had used a non-tobacco flavor, and that 26.6 percent of those had used menthol flavored e-liquids. On the face of it the NYTS figures are very scary, seemingly justifying immediate action on the part of FDA. But as with all percentages you have to look a little closer at what is actually being reported before you push the red button of alarm.

Within the CDC Mortality and Morbidity Weekly Report setting out the NYTS results, the prevalence of youth use of Logic products is shown to be 4.3 percent. However, that is not 4.3 percent of all U.S. youth but 4.3 percent of the 9.4 percent of youth who were currently vaping within the U.S. With that clarification the numbers here begin to look very different to the headline announcements. The extent of that use reported by the CDC researchers is 4.3 percent of 9.4 percent, i.e. 0.4 percent. By their own calculations, the CDC authors estimate this to be 100,000 of all U.S. youth—hardly an epidemic.”

ARTICLE LINK: Fuzzy Math

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Author: Bill Tarling